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Broadband Access 2002: An Assessment of Global Demand for Broadband Access by Technology and Geographic Region
During the hey-day of the Internet bubble, discussion about a "broadband gold rush" was rampant. With the promise of high returns on investment, large sums of capital flowed to a number of broadband access equipment manufacturers. These pioneering firms
During the hey-day of the Internet bubble, discussion about a "broadband gold rush" was rampant. With the promise of high returns on investment, large sums of capital flowed to a number of broadband access equipment manufacturers. These pioneering firms have subsequently brought forth, and in some cases continue to produce, numerous innovations that span a wide gambit of cutting-edge, broadband (BB) technologies: BB fixed wireless, BB satellite, DSL and cable modem. With continuous innovation, it was hoped that these new technologies with their impressive capabilities and lower price points would seriously challenge the established BB technologies of ISDN and copper and fiber-optic-based, high capacity transport. It was further hoped that, by addressing the paucity of available bandwidth in the local loop, the newer technologies would empower competitive LECs and innovative, established LECs alike, thereby creating new service and equipment markets. Since then, many of the firms participating in the broadband gold rush have fallen on hard times, leading some observers to wonder whether only "fool's gold" was ever in reach. Was the promise of the broadband gold rush a fundamentally flawed assessment of technological capability and market demand? Or was this vision instead merely wrong in its timing? Will the “small pipes” for conveying information based on dial-up access satisfy the majority of end-users based on current price points? Or will the much heralded emergence of a "killer application" justify higher price points for critical masses of end-users? In addition to addressing these important issues, Pioneer's latest report, "Broadband Access 2002: An Assessment of Global Demand for Broadband Access by Technology and Geographic Region", realistically sizes the market opportunity for individual broadband access technologies in different regions of the world for the 2002-2008 time frame. Unlike any other report available today this report also considers and includes: - Identification of the core services delivered over broadband networks - Key areas of differentiation between access technologies - Role of the Internet in driving market demand for broadband - Fixed rate versus usage based pricing models The many insights, in-depth treatment and comprehensiveness of Pioneer's Broadband Access 2002 report makes it indispensable for equipment vendors and service providers faced with tough choices about broadband access equipment production and network deployments in the current period of tight financial restraints. It is the only report currently available that provides an up-to-date, sober and economic-based assessment of the demand for broadband access worldwide and the major regions of the world today. For those seeking actionable data to drive decision-making and to build business cases, the Broadband Access 2002 report will provide a treasure trove of tabular and artfully displayed data.
Exhibit 1.3: Economic Assumptions (Annual Percent Growth in Real GDP)
Exhibit 1.4: Total Estimated Internet Users in the World: 1989–2010 (000s)
Exhibit 1.5: Total Estimated Internet Users in the World: 1989–2010 (000s)
Exhibit 1.6: Qualitative Evaluation of Broadband Access Technologies
Exhibit 1.7: Worldwide Market Opportunity for Business Broadband Service
Exhibit 1.8: Worldwide Market Opportunity for Business Broadband Service (In Millions)
Exhibit 1.9: Worldwide Market Opportunity for Business Broadband CPE
Exhibit 1.10: Worldwide Market Opportunity for Business Broadband CPE (In Millions)
Exhibit 1.11: Worldwide Market Opportunity for Residential Broadband Service
Exhibit 1.12: Worldwide Market Opportunity for Residential Broadband Service (In Millions)
Exhibit 1.13: Worldwide Market Opportunity for Residential Broadband CPE
Exhibit 1.14: Worldwide Market Opportunity for Residential Broadband CPE (In Millions)
Chapter 3: Overview of the Market for Broadband Services
Exhibit 3.1: Communication Carrier Classification
Exhibit 3.2: Broadband Components
Exhibit 3.3: Broadband Services Versus Internet Applications
Exhibit 3.4: Life of an Application
Exhibit 3.5: Bandwidth and Interactivity of Broadband Services
Exhibit 3.6: Telephony Service Profile
Exhibit 3.7: High-Speed Internet Service Profile
Exhibit 3.8: Audio Broadcasting Profile
Exhibit 3.9: Broadcast Video Profile
Exhibit 3.10: Broadcast Data Profile
Exhibit 3.11: Videoconferencing Profile
Exhibit 3.12: On-demand Profile
Exhibit 3.13: Multiplayer Gaming Profile
Exhibit 3.14: Virtual Private Networking Profile
Exhibit 3.15: Broadband Service Units of Sale
Exhibit 3.16: Broadband Service Maturity
Exhibit 3.17: Growth in Technology Users
Exhibit 3.18: Total Estimated Internet Users in the World: 1989–2010 (000s)
Exhibit 3.19: Total Estimated Internet Users in the World: 1989–2010 (000s)
Exhibit 3.20: Total Estimated Internet Penetration in the World: 1989–2010
Exhibit 3.21: Total Estimated Internet Penetration in the World: 1989–2010
Exhibit 3.22: Total Estimated Internet Users by Region: 1989–2010 (000s)
Exhibit 3.23: Total Estimated Internet Users by Region: 1989–2010
Exhibit 3.24: Internet Penetration Rates by Region: 1989–2010
Exhibit 3.25: Internet Penetration Rates by Region: 1989–2010
Exhibit 3.26: Worldwide Internet Hosts 1989–2010
Exhibit 3.27: Total Estimated Internet Hosts by Major Region
Exhibit 3.28: Equations for Determining Bandwidth Capacity
Exhibit 3.29: Variable Assumptions for Internet Bandwidth Demand
Exhibit 3.30: Worldwide Internet Bandwidth Demand 1990–2010
Exhibit 3.31: Worldwide Internet Bandwidth Demand 1991–2000
Exhibit 3.32: Worldwide Internet Bandwidth Demand Figures 1991–2000 (In Gbps)
Exhibit 3.33: Worldwide Internet Bandwidth Demand 2001–2010
Exhibit 3.34: Worldwide Internet Bandwidth Demand Figures 2001–2010 (In Gbps)
Exhibit 3.35: Addressable Business Market for Broadband Service
Exhibit 3.36: Addressable Business Market
Exhibit 3.37: Addressable Residential Market for Broadband Service (Millions of Households)
Exhibit 3.38: Estimated Addressable Residential Market (Number of Households)
Chapter 4: Broadband Access Technology
Exhibit 4.1: Internet Infrastructure Components
Exhibit 4.2: Classification of Infrastructure Media
Exhibit 4.3: Qualitative Evaluation of Broadband Access Technologies
Chapter 5: Broadband Access Business Case
Exhibit 5.1: Cost Per Month Per Subscriber Based On T1 Trunk Line Lease Costs
Exhibit 5.2: Cost Per Month Per Subscriber For Broadband Access Networks
Exhibit 5.3: Price Per Month To Broadband Subscribers Assuming 40% Margin
Exhibit 5.4: Average Bandwidth Allocation Per Broadband Subscriber
Exhibit 5.5: Summary of Internet Pricing Models
Chapter 6: Forecast Results for Broadband Access
Exhibit 6.1: Fisher-Pry Model
Exhibit 6.2: Generic Fisher-Pry Plot
Exhibit 6.3: Economic Assumptions (Annual Percent Growth in Real GDP)
Exhibit 6.4: Worldwide Subscriber Forecast for Broadband Access
Exhibit 6.5: Worldwide Revenue Forecast for Broadband Access Service
Exhibit 6.6: Worldwide Revenue Forecast for Broadband Access CPE
Exhibit 6.7: Estimated Total Market Opportunity for Business Broadband Services
Exhibit 6.8: Estimated Total Market Opportunity for Business Broadband Services (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.9: Estimated Total Market Opportunity for Business Broadband CPE Exhibit 6.10: Estimated Total Market Opportunity for Business Broadband CPE (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.11: Worldwide Forecast of Business Office Locations
Exhibit 6.12: Worldwide Forecast Figures for Business Office Locations
Exhibit 6.13: Estimated Worldwide Business Broadband Subscribers by Region
Exhibit 6.14: Estimated Worldwide Business Broadband Subscribers by Region
Exhibit 6.15: Estimated Worldwide Business Broadband Access Subscriber by Technology
Exhibit 6.16: Estimated Total Worldwide Business Broadband Access Subscribers by Technology (In Thousands) Exhibit 6.17: Estimated North American Business Broadband Access Subscribers by Technology
Exhibit 6.18: Estimated North American Business Broadband Access Subscribers by Technology(In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.19: Estimated North American Business Broadband Access Service Revenue
Exhibit 6.20: Estimated North American Business Broadband Access Service Revenue (In Millions)
Exhibit 6.21: Estimated North American Business Broadband Access CPE Units Sold
Exhibit 6.22: Estimated North American Business Broadband Access CPE Units Sold (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.23: Estimated North American Business Broadband Access CPE Revenue
Exhibit 6.24: Estimated North American Business Broadband Access CPE Revenue (In Millions)
Exhibit 6.25: Estimated European Business Broadband Access Subscribers by Technology
Exhibit 6.26: Estimated European Business Broadband Access Subscribers by Technology (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.27: Estimated European Business Broadband Access Service Revenue
Exhibit 6.28: Estimated European Business Broadband Access Service Revenue (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.29: Estimated European Business Broadband Access CPE Units Sold
Exhibit 6.30: Estimated European Business Broadband Access CPE Units Sold (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.31: Estimated European Business Broadband Access CPE Revenue
Exhibit 6.32: Estimated European Business Broadband Access CPE Revenue (In Millions)
Exhibit 6.33: Estimated Asia Pacific Business Broadband Access Subscribers by Technology
Exhibit 6.34: Estimated Asia Pacific Business Broadband Access Subscribers by Technology (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.35: Estimated Asia Pacific Business Broadband Access Service Revenue
Exhibit 6.36: Estimated Asia Pacific Business Broadband Access Service Revenue (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.37: Estimated Asia Pacific Business Broadband Access CPE Units Sold
Exhibit 6.38: Estimated Asia Pacific Business Broadband Access CPE Units Sold (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.39: Estimated Asia Pacific Business Broadband Access CPE Revenue
Exhibit 6.40: Estimated Asia Pacific Business Broadband Access CPE Revenue (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.41: Estimated Latin America Business Broadband Access Subscribers by Technology
Exhibit 6.42: Estimated Latin America Business Broadband Access Subscribers by Technology (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.43: Estimated Latin America Business Broadband Access Service Revenue
Exhibit 6.44: Estimated Latin America Business Broadband Access Service Revenue (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.45: Estimated Latin America Business Broadband Access CPE Units Sold
Exhibit 6.46: Estimated Latin America Business Broadband Access CPE Units Sold (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.47: Estimated Latin America Business Broadband Access CPE Revenue
Exhibit 6.48: Estimated Latin America Business Broadband Access CPE Revenue (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.49: Estimated Africa/ROW Business Broadband Access Subscribers by Technology
Exhibit 6.50: Estimated Africa/ROW Business Broadband Access Subscribers by Technology
Exhibit 6.51: Estimated Africa/ROW Business Broadband Access Service Revenue
Exhibit 6.52: Estimated Africa/ROW Business Broadband Access Service Revenue (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.53: Estimated Africa/ROW Business Broadband Access CPE Units Sold
Exhibit 6.54: Estimated Africa/ROW Business Broadband Access CPE Units Sold (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.55: Estimated Africa/ROW Business Broadband Access CPE Revenue
Exhibit 6.56: Estimated Africa/ROW Business Broadband Access CPE Revenue (In Millions)
Exhibit 6.57: Estimated Worldwide Market Opportunity for Residential Broadband Service
Exhibit 6.58: Estimated Worldwide Market Opportunity for Residential Broadband Service (in $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.59: Estimated Worldwide Market Opportunity for Residential Broadband CPE
Exhibit 6.60: Estimated Worldwide Market Opportunity for Residential Broadband CPE (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.61: Estimated Worldwide Residential Household by Region
Exhibit 6.62: Estimated Worldwide Residential Households by Region
Exhibit 6.63: Estimated Worldwide Residential Broadband Service Subscribers by Region
Exhibit 6.64: Estimated Worldwide Residential Broadband Access Service Subscribers by Region (Thousands)
Exhibit 6.65: Estimated Worldwide Residential Broadband Access Subscribers by Technology
Exhibit 6.66: Estimated Worldwide Residential Broadband Access Subscribers by Technology (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.67: Estimated North American Residential Broadband Subscribers by Technology
Exhibit 6.68: Estimated North American Residential Broadband Subscribers by Technology (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.69: Estimated North American Residential Broadband Service Revenue
Exhibit 6.70: Estimated North American Residential Broadband Service Revenue (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.71: Estimated North American Residential Broadband CPE Units Sold
Exhibit 6.72: Estimated North American Residential Broadband CPE Units Sold (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.73: Estimated North American Residential Broadband CPE Revenue
Exhibit 6.74: Estimated North American Residential Broadband CPE Revenue (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.75: Estimated European Residential Broadband Subscribers by Technology
Exhibit 6.76: Estimated European Residential Broadband Subscribers by Technology (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.77: Estimated European Residential Broadband Service Revenue
Exhibit 6.78: Estimated European Residential Broadband Service Revenue (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.79: Estimated European Residential Broadband CPE Units Sold
Exhibit 6.80: Estimated European Residential Broadband CPE Units Sold (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.81: Estimated European Residential Broadband CPE Revenue
Exhibit 6.82: Estimated European Residential Broadband CPE Revenue (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.83: Estimated Asia Pacific Residential Broadband Subscribers by Technology
Exhibit 6.84: Estimated Asia Pacific Residential Broadband Subscribers by Technology (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.85: Estimated Asia Pacific Residential Broadband Service Revenue
Exhibit 6.86: Estimated Asia Pacific Residential Broadband Service Revenue (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.87: Estimated Asia Pacific Residential Broadband CPE Units Sold
Exhibit 6.88: Estimated Asia Pacific Residential Broadband CPE Units Sold (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.89: Estimated Asia Pacific Residential Broadband CPE Revenue
Exhibit 6.90: Estimated Asia Pacific Residential Broadband CPE Revenue (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.91: Estimated Latin American Residential Broadband Subscribers by Technology
Exhibit 6.92: Estimated Latin American Residential Broadband Subscribers by Technology (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.93: Estimated Latin American Residential Broadband Service Revenue
Exhibit 6.94: Estimated Latin American Residential Broadband Service Revenue (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.95: Estimated Latin American Residential Broadband CPE Units Sold
Exhibit 6.96: Estimated Latin American Residential Broadband CPE Units Sold (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.97: Estimated Latin American Residential Broadband CPE Revenue
Exhibit 6.98: Estimated Latin American Residential Broadband CPE Revenue (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.99: Estimated Africa/ROW Residential Broadband Subscribers by Technology
Exhibit 6.100: Estimated Africa/ROW Residential Broadband Subscribers by Technology (In Thousands)
Exhibit 6.101: Estimated Africa/ROW Residential Broadband Service Revenue
Exhibit 6.102: Estimated Africa/ROW Residential Broadband Service Revenue (In $ Millions USD)
Exhibit 6.103: Estimated Africa/ROW Residential Broadband CPE Units Sold
Exhibit 6.104: Estimated Africa/ROW Residential Broadband CPE Units Sold (In Thousands)
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