Details

When Pioneer last researched and wrote about the Latin American submarine fiber optic cable market in 2003, the industry as a whole was in the doldrums and Latin American economies had been hit hard by a global economic recession. Five years later and the picture could not be more different. The global submarine cable industry is in the midst of another construction boom and confidence has returned to key Latin American markets to the extent that capacity upgrades are occurring on the major submarine fiber optic trunk routes, new branches are being added to existing systems, and new construction projects are being discussed.

With this change in market conditions comes renewed interest in Latin America from service providers, equipment suppliers and installers, potential investors and associated financial institutions. In response to this, Pioneer has made a detailed survey of countries in Latin America gathering data on the general political and economic conditions, the structure and developments within the national telecom market, and regulatory issues. This data is collated and presented in detailed standardized country profiles with a view to understanding the drivers of growth in demand for submarine fiber optic capacity in Latin America. Countries covered by this report are:

• Argentina  • Belize • Brazil  • Chile  • Colombia  • Costa Rica  • Ecuador  • El Salvador  • French Guiana  • Guatemala  • Guyana  • Honduras  • Mexico  • Nicaragua  • Panama  • Peru  • Suriname  • Uruguay  • Venezuela

Similarly, Pioneer looks at the supply side by providing comprehensive profiles of every existing and planned submarine fiber optic cable in the region. Cables covered in this report are:

• Americas-1  • Americas-2  • ARCOS  • Atlantis-2  • Brazil Domestic 1 & 2  • CFX-1  • Colombia-Panama Festoon  • Columbus-2  • Ixchel  • GlobeNet  • Guyana-Trinidad-Brazil-Suriname   • Maya-1  • Pan American  • Pan American Crossing  • SAm–1 (formerly known as Emergia)  • South American Crossing    • Southern Caribbean Fiber Extension  • Unisur  • Venezuela-Cuba

Using the information from the country profiles together with statistics from the ITU and other credible sources, Pioneer then applies its proprietary methodology to assess and forecast the supply-demand balance for submarine cable capacity in each Latin American country until 2020.

This analysis therefore provides the reader not only with an understanding of the growth potential in the region and associated drivers but it also provides a forecast of when upgrades and construction of new submarine fiber optic systems are likely to be required.

Table of Contents

Chapter 1: Executive Summary

1.1 Report Aims

1.2 Methodology & Report Structure

1.2.1 Methodology

1.2.2 Report Structure

1.3 Demand Forecasts

1.3.1 North America-Latin America Demand

1.3.2 Latin America Intra-Regional Demand

1.3.3 Demand Profiles

1.3.4 Regional Drivers of Demand

1.4 Opportunities

1.4.1 Existing Cables

1.4.2 Potential for New Construction

Chapter 2: Introduction

2.1 Purpose of the Report

2.2 Report Scope

2.2.1 Geographic Scope

2.2.2 Issues Addressed

2.2.3 Market Segmentation

2.2.4 Analysis & Forecasts

2.3 General Methodology

2.3.1 Model Components

2.3.2 Forecast Period and Geographic Focus

2.4 Internet Methodology & Assumptions

2.4.1 Input Data

2.4.2 Forecasting

2.5 Mobile Traffic Demand Methodology & Assumptions

2.5.1 Definition of “Mobile”

2.5.2 Comparison with Internet Demand Model

2.6 Corporate Data Demand Methodology & Assumptions     

2.7 Voice Traffic Demand Methodology & Assumptions

2.8 Submarine Cable Capacity Supply

2.8.1 Upgrade Methodology

2.8.2 Forecast Supply-Demand Balances

 
Chapter 3: Submarine Cable Connectivity

3.1 Introduction

3.2 Latin American Overview

3.3 Latin America-North America Ultra-long Haul Cables

3.3.1 Americas-1

3.3.2 Americas-2

3.3.3 ARCOS

3.3.4 CFX-1

3.3.5 Sam–1 (formerly known as Emergia)

3.3.6 GlobeNet

3.3.7 Maya-1

3.3.8 Pan American

3.3.9 Pan American Crossing

3.3.10 South American Crossing

3.4 Other Existing Submarine Cables of Interest

3.4.1 Atlantis-2

3.4.2 Columbus-2

3.4.3 Unisur

3.4.4 Brazil Domestic 1 & 2

3.4.4 Ixchel

3.5 Planned, Proposed, and Rumored Cable Systems

3.5.1 Colombia-Panama Festoon

3.5.2 Guyana-Trinidad-Brazil-Suriname

3.5.3 Southern Caribbean Fiber Extension

3.5.4 Venezuela-Cuba

 
Chapter 4: Supply-Demand Forecasts

4.1 Introduction

4.2 Latin American Country Profiles &  Supply-Demand Forecasts

4.2.1 Argentina

4.2.2 Belize

4.2.3 Brazil

4.2.4 Chile

4.2.5 Colombia

4.2.6 Costa Rica

4.2.7 Ecuador 

4.2.8 El Salvador

4.2.9 French Guiana

4.2.10 Guatemala

4.2.11 Guyana

4.2.12 Honduras

4.2.13 Mexico  

4.2.14 Nicaragua

4.2.15 Panama

4.2.16 Peru

4.2.17 Suriname

4.2.18 Uruguay

4.2.19 Venezuela

4.3 Regional Supply-Demand Balance Summaries      

4.3.1 North America-Latin America Connectivity

4.3.2 Latin America Intra-Regional Connectivity

4.3.3 Regional Drivers of Demand

4.3.4 Demand Profiles

 
Chapter 5: Conclusions

5.1 Supply

5.1.1 North America-Latin America Cables

5.1.2 Latin America Intra-Regional Cables

5.2 Demand

5.2.1 Intercontinental Demand

5.2.2 Intra-Regional Demand

5.2.3 Leading Countries

5.2.4 Demand Profile

5.3 Supply-Demand Balances

5.3.1 North American Connectivity Supply-Demand Balances

5.3.2 Intra-Regional Supply-Demand Balances

5.4 New Construction

5.4.1 New North America-Latin America Systems

5.4.2 New Regional Systems

List of Exhibits

Chapter 1: Executive Summary

Exhibit 1.1: Forecast Latin American Demand for North American Submarine Cable Connectivity 2007–2020

Exhibit 1.2: Forecast Latin American Demand for Intra-Regional Submarine Cable Connectivity 2007-2020

Exhibit 1.3: Profile of Forecast Latin American Demand for North American Submarine Cable Connectivity 2007–2020

Exhibit 1.4: Profile of Forecast Latin American Demand for Intra-Regional Submarine Cable Connectivity 2007-2020

Exhibit 1.5: Forecast North America-Latin America Demand Growth Rates by Country 2010-2020

Exhibit 1.6: Forecast Demand for North America-Latin America Connectivity by Leading Country 2007-2020

Exhibit 1.6: Data Table

Exhibit 1.7: Forecast Demand for Latin America Intra-Regional Connectivity by Leading Country 2007–2020

Exhibit 1.7: Data Table

Chapter 2: Introduction

Exhibit 2.1: Forecast Latin American Dial-up & Broadband Penetration 2007–2020

Exhibit 2.1: Data Table

Exhibit 2.2: Forecast Evolution of Average Broadband Access Speeds in Latin American Countries 2007-2020

Exhibit 2.2: Data Table

Exhibit 2.3: Forecast Latin American Average Access Speed (All Users) 2007–2020

Exhibit 2.3: Data Table

Exhibit 2.4: Forecast Evolution of Optimal Application Bandwidth Requirements 2007-2020

Exhibit 2.4: Data Table

Exhibit 2.5: U.S.-originated Private Line Activations 1995-2005 in Leading Latin American Countries

Exhibit 2.5: Data Table

Exhibit 2.6: Forecast Trend in Latin American Corporate Data Demand Satisfied by IP VPN 2007–2020

Exhibit 2.7: Total Latin American Voice Traffic Demand 1991-2001

Exhibit 2.7: Data Table

Chapter 3: Submarine Cable Connectivity

Exhibit 3.1: Cable Map—Latin American Systems

Exhibit 3.2: Cable Map—Americas-1

Exhibit 3.3: Cable Map—Americas-2

Exhibit 3.4: Cable Map—ARCOS (with CFX-1)

Exhibit 3.5: Cable Map: CFX-1 (& ARCOS)       3–11

Exhibit 3.6: Cable Map—SAm-1

Exhibit 3.7: Cable Map—GlobeNet

Exhibit 3.8: Cable Map—Maya-1

Exhibit 3.9: Cable Map—Pan American

Exhibit 3.10: Cable Map—Pan American Crossing

Exhibit 3.11: Cable Map—South American Crossing

Exhibit 3.12: Cable Map—Atlantis-2

Exhibit 3.13: Cable Map—Columbus-2

Exhibit 3.14: Cable Map—Unisur

Exhibit 3.15: Cable Map—Brazil Domestic 1 & 2

Exhibit 3.16: Cable Map—Southern Caribbean Fiber Extension

Chapter 4: Supply-Demand Forecasts

 Exhibit 4.1: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User—Argentina

Exhibit 4.1: Data Table

Exhibit 4.2: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity & Average Access Speed—Argentina

Exhibit 4.2: Data Table

Exhibit 4.3: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North America-Latin America and Regional Traffic—Argentina

Exhibit 4.3: Data Table

Exhibit 4.4: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User—Belize

Exhibit 4.4: Data Table

Exhibit 4.5: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity & Average Access Speed—Belize    

Exhibit 4.5: Data Table

Exhibit 4.6: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North America-Latin America and Regional Traffic—Belize

Exhibit 4.6: Data Table

Exhibit 4.7: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User—Brazil

Exhibit 4.7: Data Table

Exhibit 4.8: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity & Average Access Speed—Brazil

Exhibit 4.8: Data Table

Exhibit 4.9: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North America-Latin America and Regional Traffic—Brazil

Exhibit 4.9: Data Table

Exhibit 4.10: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User—Chile

Exhibit 4.10: Data Table

Exhibit 4.11: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity & Average Access Speed—Chile

Exhibit 4.11: Data Table

Exhibit 4.12: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North America-Latin America and Regional Traffic—Chile

Exhibit 4.12: Data Table

Exhibit 4.13: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User—Colombia

Exhibit 4.13: Data Table

Exhibit 4.14: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity & Average Access Speed—Colombia

Exhibit 4.14: Data Table

Exhibit 4.15: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North America-Latin America and Regional Traffic—Colombia

Exhibit 4.15: Data Table

Exhibit 4.16: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User—Costa Rica

Exhibit 4.16: Data Table

Exhibit 4.17: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity & Average Access Speed—Costa Rica

Exhibit 4.17: Data Table

Exhibit 4.18: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North America-Latin America and Regional Traffic—Costa Rica 

Exhibit 4.18: Data Table

Exhibit 4.19: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User—Ecuador

Exhibit 4.19: Data Table

Exhibit 4.20: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity & Average Access Speed—Ecuador

Exhibit 4.20: Data Table

Exhibit 4.21: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North America-Latin America and Regional Traffic—Ecuador

Exhibit 4.21: Data TableExhibit 4.22: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User—El Salvador

Exhibit 4.22: Data Table

Exhibit 4.23: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity & Average Access Speed—El Salvador

Exhibit 4.23: Data Table

Exhibit 4.24: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North America-Latin America and Regional Traffic—El Salvador

Exhibit 4.24: Data Table

Exhibit 4.25: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User—French Guiana

Exhibit 4.25: Data Table

Exhibit 4.26: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity & Average Access Speed—French Guiana

Exhibit 4.26: Data Table

Exhibit 4.27: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North America-Latin America and Regional Traffic—French Guiana

Exhibit 4.27: Data Table

Exhibit 4.28: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User—Guatemala

Exhibit 4.28: Data Table

Exhibit 4.29: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity & Average Access Speed—Guatemala

Exhibit 4.29: Data Table

Exhibit 4.30: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North America-Latin America and Regional Traffic—Guatemala

Exhibit 4.30: Data Table

Exhibit 4.31: Forecast Demand for North American Submarine Connectivity & Average Bandwidth per User—Guyana

Exhibit 4.31: Data Table

Exhibit 4.32: Forecast Demand for Regional Submarine Capacity & Average Access Speed—Guyana

Exhibit 4.32: Data Table

Exhibit 4.33: Forecast Supply-Demand Balances for North America-Latin

Executive Summary

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